Page 4 - Updated Spectrum-volume-14-issue-8

4 2021 | Spectrum | Volume 14 Number 8
4 2020 | Spectrum | Volume 14 Number 8
Prediction of End-Time

of COVID-19 Spread in AP

using machine learning

STAFF WRITER

In the current pandemic
situation, a pertinent question is
an estimate of the time by which
virus spread could be contained
and normalcy would return. In
this context, Prof. D. Narayana
Rao, Pro Vice Chancellor, Dr sowmyajyoti biswas
SRM University – AP initiated
the study. Dr. Soumyajyoti
Biswas of SRM University AP,
along with 4 B.Tech Students
have carried out an interesting
study to predict the end time of
COVID-19 spread in the state
of Andhra Pradesh. The study Sai Krishna
SRM Hospital opens COVID employed Susceptible – Infected
– Recovered (SIR) Model, making
use of the information on the
Care Centre with 200 beds COVID-19 affected people and
the recovered number of people,
which the Government of AP
makes it available through
STAFF WRITER the control command center.
SRM Team made use of this
SRM Medical College Hospital data, employed SIR Model and Hanesh Koganti
and Research Centre (SRM applied the methods of Machine
MCH&RC), Kattankulathur has Learning. Study reveals that
set up a COVID Care Centre by July 15th 2021, the rate of
with 200 bed capacity in the infection in AP will be below
campus. Out of this 200 bed 100 per day.
facility, 100 beds will be for With the assumption that the
allopathic treatment. decay rate of infection is same
The 200 bed facilty was as the growth rate, the model Suhas Reddy
inaugurated by Pro-Vice predicts that the number of
Chancellor, Medical & Health infected people could be 10,000
Sciences, SRM MCH&RC Prof. (May 21), 15,000 (May 30),
Lt. Col. Dr. A. Ravikumar, Also 1000 (June 14), 500 (June 23)
present were SRM Institute and 100 (July 15)
of Science and Technology’s The above report has been
Registrar (Interim) Dr. S. submitted to the Special Chief
Ponnusamy, Medical (Dean) Secretary to the Hon’ble Chief
Dr. A. Sundaram and Dental Ministry of AYUSH, Govt.of supported this initiative. of India Minister of Andhra Pradesh. Anvesh Reddy
(Dean) Dr. Vivek among others. India and Govt. of Tamil Nadu. and Govt. of Tamil Nadu. The
The proposed COVID Care proposed COVID Care Centre
As per the Govt. guidelines Centre has sufficient facilities has sufficient facilities to cater Dr. Soumyajyoti Biswas of
and AIIMS, Delhi guidelines, to cater to the needs of these to the needs of these patients.
only patients with moderately patients. We also have sufficient We also have sufficient Medical, SRM University AP, along
severe disease are admitted to Medical, Nursing, Para-medical Nursing, Para-medical and with 4 B.Tech Students have
the hospital. However, a large and Support staff to run the Support staff to run the centre
number of COVID patients centre as per accepted standard as per accepted standard of care. carried out an interesting
are having mild symptoms or of care.
remain asymptomatic. They The proposed COVID Care study to predict the end time of
need assisted care for up to a The proposed COVID Care Centre has sufficient facilities COVID-19 spread in the state
week under supervised Medical Centre has sufficient facilities to cater to the needs of these
and Nursing professionals. SRM to cater to the needs of these patients. We also have sufficient of Andhra Pradesh. The study
MCH&RC receives 150 to patients. We also have sufficient Medical, Nursing, Para-medical
170 patients daily in the Fever Medical, Nursing, Para-medical and Support staff to run the employed Susceptible – Infected
Clinic. Out of this, about 30 get and Support staff to run the centre as per accepted standard
admitted to the hospital. Of the centre as per accepted standard of care. – Recovered (SIR) Model,
remaining patients with mild of care. The Management under the making use of the information
symptoms some held rest and The Management under the able guidance of SRM Group of
special care due to the extreme able guidance of SRM Group of Institution Founder Chancellor, on the COVID-19 affected
malaise isolated with the disease. Institution Founder Chancellor, Dr. T. R. Paarivendhar, MP and people and the recovered
In order to cater to this group Dr. T. R. Paarivendhar, MP and Pro-Chancellor (Academics),
of patients, SRM MCH&RC Pro-Chancellor (Academics), Dr. P. Sathyanarayanan have number of people...
has set up a 200 bed capacityof Dr. P. Sathyanarayanan have supported this initiative.